The 7th webinar of the LandAware 2026 webinar series “What is wrong with shallow landslide modelling? Insights from machine learning, numerical modelling and field investigation”, by Tobias Halter (ETH Zurich, Swizterland) is scheduled for 24 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Abstract
Landslide susceptibility maps have become essential tools for early warning and hazard management, aiming to predict the spatial deposition of slope failure across a landscape. In recent decades, machine learning approaches and high-resolution spatial data have steadily improved susceptibility assessments. Yet discrepancies between predicted susceptibility and observed landslide occurrence persist. In this webinar we explore these limitations through studies that combine machine learning, numerical modelling, and field observation. We examine soil profiles and geophysical measurements collected at landslide head scarps in Switzerland to understand what triggered these failures, and compare them with equivalent measurements from slopes that were predicted to have similarly high susceptibility, but did not fail. The results show that variations in soil texture, development, type, and depth strongly influence the mechanical and hydrological conditions governing slope stability — factors that large-scale models often cannot capture. Together, these findings offer insight into why susceptibility models fall short, and point toward what finer-scale, field-grounded data could contribute towards landslide early warning.

Bio
Tobias Halter is a doctoral student, soon to complete his PhD in Engineering Geology at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH). His research focuses on integrating soil hydrological measurements into large-scale landslide early warning models and shallow landslide susceptibility mapping. His work combines data-driven machine learning analysis, physically based numerical modelling, and field observations, all directed toward a single goal: improving predictions of when and where landslides will occur in the future.
Through his involvement in the development of the Swiss national landslide early warning system, he gained first-hand experience of the challenges governmental agencies face in translating scientific advances into operational tools. This experience has reinforced his motivation to pursue research that not only advances scientific understanding but also addresses practical challenges in natural hazard management.







